NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated September 30, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 7 | 42 | 77.8% | 1 | 31.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 5 | 42 | 55.6% | 2 | 25.4 | 6 |
| 2 | Dan Ellenberger | 5 | 42 | 55.6% | 2 | 25.0 | 7 |
| 2 | Luke Phelan | 5 | 41 | 50.0% | 4 | 26.8 | 2 |
| 5 | Steve Creaser | 4 | 42 | 44.4% | 5 | 24.7 | 9 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 4 | 42 | 44.4% | 5 | 24.9 | 8 |
| 5 | Gavin Gray | 4 | 41 | 40.0% | 10 | 23.3 | 10 |
| 5 | Karl Loiseau | 4 | 42 | 44.4% | 5 | 25.8 | 4 |
| 5 | Mike Thorne | 4 | 42 | 44.4% | 5 | 25.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Andrew Moeller | 4 | 42 | 44.4% | 5 | 25.8 | 3 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 12.0 | @ ARI | 0.64 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 10.2 | CIN | 0.62 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 9.3 | HOU | 0.73 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 2 | 11.5 | PIT | 0.87 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 7.1 | @ GB | 0.25 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 6.8 | DET | |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 8.7 | IND | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 10.1 | DAL | 0.73 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 6.2 | MIA | 0.3 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 10.4 | @ NYJ | 0.7 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 12.0 | NYG | |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 4.4 | @ JAK | 0.27 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 9.1 | CHI | 0.72 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 1 | 8.3 | PHI | 0.36 |
| Washington Commanders | 1 | 8.4 | TEN | |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 9.6 | @ BAL | 0.38 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 7.7 | SEA | 0.7 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 6.0 | @ BUF | 0.13 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 8.7 | LAC | 0.45 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1 | 8.9 | @ CLE | 0.55 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 1 | 8.2 | @ CAR | 0.61 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 12.0 | ATL | 0.79 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 6.6 | @ NE | |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 6.3 | @ WAS | |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 9.9 | @ LAR | 0.27 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 7.6 | SF | 0.39 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 8.0 | @ DEN | 0.41 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 6.3 | @ MIN | 0.28 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 10.8 | LV | 0.72 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0 | 7.6 | @ KC | 0.28 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 26 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0 | 16 | 2 | -2 | 14 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1 | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 14 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 1 | 10 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Washington Commanders | 1 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Draft Results
